But honestly, I always follow to help me understand the backstory behind the forecasts. Of course, always check the National Hurricane Center for the official forecasts. Even if you aren’t a weather guru, Levi explains what all the major models are saying might happen and way, plus he gives his best projection as well. He only does these when there is a storm system worthy of tracking. One of the best parts of Levi’s website are his blog posts which have fascinating YouTube videos. These are what can potentially become tropical depressions, storms, and hurricanes. These models are basically snapshots in time over a period of many days, so you can play time forward into the future and watch low pressure areas form, move, and dissipate. Here is a map from Tropical Tidbits showing the ECMWF. One of the best models is the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF). Predicting hurricanes is not 100% exact by any means. Levi uses a number of other top models in his forecasts, because they all have strengths and weaknesses. The GFS is created by the United States’ National Weather Service on it’s massive super computer. The mesoscale hurricane models HAFS, HWRF, and GFDL are run on tropical disturbances and storms. The featured image for this post is from his site, and it shows the Global Forecast System (GFS). He creates an amazing site featuring the best hurricane models and maps. One of my favorite long-range hurricane weather forecasting sites is Levi Cowan’s.
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